Will Carney Get A Majority?

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So, a third Tory has defected to the LPC. This leaves the Carney government that much closer to having a majority within Parliament.

Do you think Poilievre's poor leadership will result in further defections and a Liberal majority?
Do you think MPs should be restricted from crossing the floor, and if so, how might an MP losing faith in their party be better addressed?
Do you think this makes the Alberta separatist movement more of a concern?
Do you think the Alberta separatist movement is largely genuine, or mostly an American funded astroturf campaign?

Personally I see PP as the greatest gift the Liberal Party of Canada could have wished for. Hardline Tories seem to love him, and everyone else seems to loath him.

This is the first time I ever heard of the Alberta separatist movement. I just now Googled it and found the relevant Wikipedia article here. As far as i can tell so far, it's not very popular.

In your opinion, how is the current overall political situation in Canada affected by, or otherwise related to, the Alberta separatist movement?

Also, what possible/likely interest do you think the U.S. government, and/or perhaps some wealthy U.S.-based interest groups, would have in astroturfing it? If you think the U.S. government has been doing this, do you think it has been doing it for a long time, or just recently under Trump? Or do you perhaps think the U.S. government was doing this a long time ago, then stopped, then started again under Trump?

I also wonder if perhaps it is being astroturfed not by (or at least not solely or primarily by) the U.S. government, but perhaps some wealthy private interests such as oil companies?

In any case, are you aware of any solid evidence either for or against the idea that the movement is being astroturfed?

I don't believe the Albertan separatist movement has become a major issue, but it's certainly one that's on Canadians minds more than it has been. It isn't the defining issue at the moment, but it has the potential to become the primary concern.

To the best of my knowledge no American administration prior to the second Trump regime has ever really acknowledged Albertan separatists, let alone worked with them.

As for why: oil.

I believe you're correct that support also comes from American and Albertan business interests, rather than purely from the current American government. Canada doesn't always prioritize the oil industry's ability to make a profit, so the oil interests have always had a somewhat hostile relationship with the Canadian federal government.

I guess I'd have to ask how solid of proof you'd like, a lot of the leadership calling for Alberta to separate are people who are deeply embedded in either far-right politics, the oil industry or both. That doesn't prove the movement is entirely fake, but it might answer why their visibility exploded out of nowhere and why their influence seems outsized compared to popular support.

There's always been a part of Alberta's population that complains about western alienation, with separatism as one of the proposed solutions. This movement waxes and wanes, so it's fair to say at least some of the current wave is organic, even if it's being artificially amplified.

I can't support any politician who thinks the mentally ill and disabled should be euthanized.

Nothing Carney has done indicates he believes that should occur.

Having euthanasia available to those who request it isn't the same as anyone being euthanized against their will.

Personally, I'm more concerned about the party that would gladly let mentally ill and disabled people starve to death in the gutter. Is that somehow less terrible than people dying because they've chosen euthanasia?