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SoloSailor
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17 Dec 2019, 8:47 pm

beneficii wrote:
That "peer-reviewed" study posted by SoloSailor is a fake:

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/clima ... l-warming/


Really?
Setting aside the fact that Snopes is hardly a credible source, the article in the link you provided has nothing to do with anything that I have posted.


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17 Dec 2019, 11:11 pm

Kiprobalhato wrote:
remember when the future seemed like a better place and not like a dystopian nightmare?

i don't. most of you probably do, though.

WTF HAPPENED?


I'm not expecting any dystopian nightmare, other than the slim possibility of the end of the world emergency scenario leading to a global government taking total control of everything in the guise of saving the world.



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17 Dec 2019, 11:26 pm

blazingstar wrote:
EzraS wrote:
blazingstar wrote:
EzraS wrote:
Tollorin wrote:
EzraS wrote:
I hear conflicting scenarios. On one hand the earth will become a global arid desret. On the other hand it will become a global ocean.

Either you got bad sources or you don't understand them properly: no serious scientists would say that the Earth will be completely covered by water, as it's not possible; what will happen though is a rise of the sea level swallowing regions and cities, as well as extreme weathers conditions that in some cases and places will lead to desertification.


The thing is I've never really hear scientists saying anything about it. They seem to let a kid, the media and the general public do their talking for them.


Scientists are not interested in the news media because so often they get it wrong. Scientists are not advocates. You aren't going to find scientists on mass media.


Off the top of my head I can name several scientists and what they are known for talking about. This idea that scientists are not interested in going public doesn't resonate. When Neil deGrasse Tyson downgraded Pluto he was the talk of the town. Just one of many examples.

Yet there's no scientist at the forefront of the imminent climate change apocalypse. It should be the most important scientific subject in the history of science and the history of humankind. And there's no scientist up there like little Greta has been saying anything about it.

It's one of the things that makes the climate change apocalypse scenario fishy.


There are scientists who have made a career out of explaining science to the general public. The scientists who are doing actual research now are not in the spotlight.

Are you able to name the scientists who won the Nobel Prize this year in medicine? in physics? Without looking it up? Had you heard of them before they won the Nobel Prize? These are the best in the world and most people have never heard of them. Most scientists are famous only within their small band of specialists.


This is the rapidly approaching end of the world we're talking about. The worst thing that's ever happened in human history. Something that is going to destroy the planet and wipe out all humans and most animals. And no scientist or scientific team is out there in the open warning the UN, the White House, Parliament etc.

Instead what the world has to go by is laypeople on the internet, who mainly go by what they see on the internet via media, blogs and other laypeople on the internet. And one kid who had an emotional outburst.

To me that's absurd and fishy as hell.

It seems that most of the laypeople who are on the internet telling everyone that the end of the world around the corner are liberal social activists, who want to see some major changes in how society and the economy is run globally.



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18 Dec 2019, 12:39 am

EzraS wrote:
This is the rapidly approaching end of the world we're talking about. The worst thing that's ever happened in human history. Something that is going to destroy the planet and wipe out all humans and most animals. And no scientist or scientific team is out there in the open warning the UN, the White House, Parliament etc.


Have you never heard of the IPCC?

Quote:
The IPCC was created to provide policymakers with regular scientific assessments on climate change, its implications and potential future risks, as well as to put forward adaptation and mitigation options.

Through its assessments, the IPCC determines the state of knowledge on climate change. It identifies where there is agreement in the scientific community on topics related to climate change, and where further research is needed. The reports are drafted and reviewed in several stages, thus guaranteeing objectivity and transparency. The IPCC does not conduct its own research.

IPCC reports are neutral, policy-relevant but not policy-prescriptive. The assessment reports are a key input into the international negotiations to tackle climate change. Created by the United Nations Environment Programme (UN Environment) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in 1988, the IPCC has 195 Member countries. In the same year, the UN General Assembly endorsed the action by WMO and UNEP in jointly establishing the IPCC.


https://www.ipcc.ch/


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18 Dec 2019, 12:51 am

beneficii wrote:
EzraS wrote:
This is the rapidly approaching end of the world we're talking about. The worst thing that's ever happened in human history. Something that is going to destroy the planet and wipe out all humans and most animals. And no scientist or scientific team is out there in the open warning the UN, the White House, Parliament etc.


Have you never heard of the IPCC?


Not that I recall. That's my point.



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18 Dec 2019, 12:57 am

EzraS wrote:
beneficii wrote:
EzraS wrote:
This is the rapidly approaching end of the world we're talking about. The worst thing that's ever happened in human history. Something that is going to destroy the planet and wipe out all humans and most animals. And no scientist or scientific team is out there in the open warning the UN, the White House, Parliament etc.


Have you never heard of the IPCC?


Not that I recall. That's my point.


I find that somewhat hard to believe, given you participated in a thread that had IPCC in the title, and where the OP specifically named them, just 2-3 weeks ago (your first post is on page 2):

viewtopic.php?t=382782


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18 Dec 2019, 1:21 am

Kiprobalhato wrote:
remember when the future seemed like a better place and not like a dystopian nightmare?

i don't. most of you probably do, though.

WTF HAPPENED?


I do. I remember the turn of the millennium and how everybody was like super optimistic about the future, we'd soon be in space, and we would have all this cool technology, then the world would be at peace. But 9/11 happened, and it's been downhill ever since.

However, I do still have hope of going into space. The Skylon Spaceplane, which would be a horizontal takeoff and landing spaceplane with only a single stage to orbit, seems particularly hopeful to me, and quite affordable once the R&D amortizes:

https://www.theregister.co.uk/2019/10/2 ... mo_mach_5/

I've been following this project for years.

As for politics, I am hopeful with the current Bernie Sanders movement, and though he's an horrible gasbag, the Donald Trump election does have a silver lining in the sense that the establishment can be beat.

We're going through a rocky time right now, but things don't always have to stay bad, and if we work together, we can push through to better times.


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18 Dec 2019, 5:42 am

beneficii wrote:
EzraS wrote:
beneficii wrote:
EzraS wrote:
This is the rapidly approaching end of the world we're talking about. The worst thing that's ever happened in human history. Something that is going to destroy the planet and wipe out all humans and most animals. And no scientist or scientific team is out there in the open warning the UN, the White House, Parliament etc.


Have you never heard of the IPCC?


Not that I recall. That's my point.


I find that somewhat hard to believe, given you participated in a thread that had IPCC in the title, and where the OP specifically named them, just 2-3 weeks ago (your first post is on page 2):

viewtopic.php?t=382782


So my knowledge of it is supposed to be dependent on a layperson posting something on the internet? That also has been my point.

Also believe it or not I do not savor and memorize every word and acronym you post.



Last edited by EzraS on 18 Dec 2019, 7:45 am, edited 2 times in total.

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18 Dec 2019, 5:58 am

jimmy m wrote:

Countries such as China and India remain firm in exempting themselves from serious emissions reductions under the Paris Accord. They continue to assert their rights to expand their economies, burn more coal, increase their emissions, and produce the goods that become too expensive to produce in Japan and the West.

China emits more CO2 than the U.S. and E.U. combined! Taking the world's number one and number three emitters out of the mix effectively renders anything the UN does under the Paris Accord meaningless in terms of altering world temperature.


Australia is meeting it's Paris Accord obligations but is castigated for not doing enough.
As it stands, our entire CO2 emissions in one year roughly equal the *increasing* emissions of China in a year.

Per-capita statistics is irrelevant in the scheme of things, yet some use it as political thuggery.
It is a dirty game of politics with the worst offenders getting a free pass.
It's quite funny, really. :wink:



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18 Dec 2019, 6:10 am

Persephone29 wrote:
Unfortunately, governments and scientists aren't above feeding on those fears as a way of dispersing money globally.


Agreed.
And they have lost a lot of credibility as a result of their catastrophizing.
They only have themselves to blame.
Silly buggers.



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18 Dec 2019, 7:54 am

EzraS wrote:
beneficii wrote:
EzraS wrote:
beneficii wrote:
EzraS wrote:
This is the rapidly approaching end of the world we're talking about. The worst thing that's ever happened in human history. Something that is going to destroy the planet and wipe out all humans and most animals. And no scientist or scientific team is out there in the open warning the UN, the White House, Parliament etc.


Have you never heard of the IPCC?


Not that I recall. That's my point.


I find that somewhat hard to believe, given you participated in a thread that had IPCC in the title, and where the OP specifically named them, just 2-3 weeks ago (your first post is on page 2):

viewtopic.php?t=382782


So my knowledge of it is supposed to be dependent on a layperson posting something on the internet? That also has been my point.

Also believe it or not I do not savor and memorize every word and acronym you post.


If you really had not heard of the IPCC, then you have a lot to learn about the topic. Your playing "skeptic" doesn't really work if you just sit back and expect people to spoonfeed you basic info about the topic. I've provided you plenty of basic resources to better understand the subject, you should take the initiative and read up on them. You can be so much more productive in these discussions if you'd taken the time to do that, rather than resorting to conspiratizing about the left.


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18 Dec 2019, 8:24 am

beneficii wrote:
If you really had not heard of the IPCC, then you have a lot to learn about the topic. Your playing "skeptic" doesn't really work if you just sit back and expect people to spoonfeed you basic info about the topic. I've provided you plenty of basic resources to better understand the subject, you should take the initiative and read up on them. You can be so much more productive in these discussions if you'd taken the time to do that, rather than resorting to conspiratizing about the left.

Seriously, for a "true centrist" and skeptic like Ezra, he sure is lazy when it comes to understanding the mainstream scientific position on climate change. He's also quick to resort to assuming foul play on their part, like when we discussed the ice core + atmospheric measurements chart, he just assumed that "the ice core measurements are giving a different level reading than the atmospheric measurements" and thus they must have just snuck the atmospheric measurements in, even though the very caption under the figure makes very clear that atmospheric measurements were put in addition to the ice core measurements--and a bit of reading up on the subject explained why they did this. He is completely unfair to the scientific community, and shows little interest in understanding the mainstream scientific position unless it's spoonfed to him.

A true skeptic doesn't do this. What do we call someone who thinks they know better than the scientists and shows little interest in even understanding the mainstream scientific position? We call them a crank.


Uh oh another thread that's become all about me again.



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18 Dec 2019, 8:42 am

If anybody is interested in educating themselves and actually understanding the mainstream scientific position, here is a very good website on the matter. It looks at common arguments from denialists and gives the mainstream scientific point of view:

https://skepticalscience.com/argument.php

Climate change is a complex field to study, and it's easy to misunderstand what the scientists are doing, so I hope this website can clear things up for the people who are willing to learn.

So looking at what we've discussed in this thread, that climate has changed before, here is the mainstream position (there are a number of references given in the original):

Quote:
Life flourished in the Eocene, the Cretaceous and other times of high CO2 in the atmosphere because the greenhouse gasses were in balance with the carbon in the oceans and the weathering of rocks. Life, ocean chemistry, and atmospheric gasses had millions of years to adjust to those levels.

But there have been several times in Earth’s past when Earth's temperature jumped abruptly, in much the same way as they are doing today. Those times were caused by large and rapid greenhouse gas emissions, just like humans are causing today.

Those abrupt global warming events were almost always highly destructive for life, causing mass extinctions such as at the end of the Permian, Triassic, or even mid-Cambrian periods. The symptoms from those events (a big, rapid jump in global temperatures, rising sea levels, and ocean acidification) are all happening today with human-caused climate change.

So yes, the climate has changed before humans, and in most cases scientists know why. In all cases we see the same association between CO2 levels and global temperatures. And past examples of rapid carbon emissions (just like today) were generally highly destructive to life on Earth.


https://skepticalscience.com/climate-ch ... period.htm


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18 Dec 2019, 8:48 am

Laypeople on the internet giving you info and links to blogs they found on the internet, but not a actual climate change apocalypse scientist to be seen.



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18 Dec 2019, 8:58 am

beneficii wrote:
If anybody is interested in educating themselves and actually understanding the mainstream scientific position, here is a very good website on the matter. It looks at common arguments from denialists and gives the mainstream scientific point of view:

https://skepticalscience.com/argument.php

Climate change is a complex field to study, and it's easy to misunderstand what the scientists are doing, so I hope this website can clear things up for the people who are willing to learn.

So looking at what we've discussed in this thread, that climate has changed before, here is the mainstream position (there are a number of references given in the original):

Quote:
Life flourished in the Eocene, the Cretaceous and other times of high CO2 in the atmosphere because the greenhouse gasses were in balance with the carbon in the oceans and the weathering of rocks. Life, ocean chemistry, and atmospheric gasses had millions of years to adjust to those levels.

But there have been several times in Earth’s past when Earth's temperature jumped abruptly, in much the same way as they are doing today. Those times were caused by large and rapid greenhouse gas emissions, just like humans are causing today.

Those abrupt global warming events were almost always highly destructive for life, causing mass extinctions such as at the end of the Permian, Triassic, or even mid-Cambrian periods. The symptoms from those events (a big, rapid jump in global temperatures, rising sea levels, and ocean acidification) are all happening today with human-caused climate change.

So yes, the climate has changed before humans, and in most cases scientists know why. In all cases we see the same association between CO2 levels and global temperatures. And past examples of rapid carbon emissions (just like today) were generally highly destructive to life on Earth.


https://skepticalscience.com/climate-ch ... period.htm


To ensure people don't miss it.

This website is highly regarded, and was recommended to me by multiple people. Don't give up in the pursuit of knowledge, and don't fall for the denialists who are trying to make you believe you can't really know anything about anything.


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18 Dec 2019, 9:01 am

How many out of the handful of people here do you think wil dig into that?