Climate talks fail
Tollorin wrote:
SoloSailor wrote:
Tollorin wrote:
What evidences do you need? If there is not enough evidences for you now, there never will be.
What evidence do you have?
Have you ever undertaken any effort to verify its authenticity or do you blindly accept what you have been told ?
Glaciers melting, sea ice shrinking, species migrating, animals "waking up" sooner from hibernating, temperatures changing all around the world and more pronounced near the poles.
I can't verify personally all this stuffs, as I'm not a god, and rather poor even; but all kind of scientists and concerned citizens are witnessing those stuffs.
In south Quebec there is seasons changing (More chaotic winter, and hotter summers with frequent heat waves), the coming of Lyme disease (It's warm enough now for tick spreading it living there), sky stations now depending more on artificial snow, worried about their future and having shorter seasons, outside ice rings now more frequently been closed, and so on... Basically less dependable winters.
As it stand right now, as much as the Sun go, the climate should be cooling, and yet it's warming.
CO2 is greenhouse effect gaz, that much is proved through physical measurements and experiments; humans are producing a great amount of CO2 through combustion of fossil fuels and CO2 can acidify sea water, that much is simple chemistry; the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is rising and oceans are acidifying, that much is shown with various measurements; the average temperatures are rising, that much is established by measurements and observations of various ecosystems and physical phenomenons; there is currently no other satisfying explanation that human activities, as nothing have been seen in natural phenomenon and cycles that can satisfyingly explain the current warming; the climate models are imperfect, but currently the worst case scenarios are right.
I have yet to see climate deniers showing any convincing arguments or evidences; they only say that for some reasons scientists are lying, or stupids by saying they didn't take into account elements that they did took into account.
Note how they’re not addressing anything you say.
_________________
"You have a responsibility to consider all sides of a problem and a responsibility to make a judgment and a responsibility to care for all involved." --Ian Danskin
beneficii wrote:
Tollorin wrote:
SoloSailor wrote:
Tollorin wrote:
What evidences do you need? If there is not enough evidences for you now, there never will be.
What evidence do you have?
Have you ever undertaken any effort to verify its authenticity or do you blindly accept what you have been told ?
Glaciers melting, sea ice shrinking, species migrating, animals "waking up" sooner from hibernating, temperatures changing all around the world and more pronounced near the poles.
I can't verify personally all this stuffs, as I'm not a god, and rather poor even; but all kind of scientists and concerned citizens are witnessing those stuffs.
In south Quebec there is seasons changing (More chaotic winter, and hotter summers with frequent heat waves), the coming of Lyme disease (It's warm enough now for tick spreading it living there), sky stations now depending more on artificial snow, worried about their future and having shorter seasons, outside ice rings now more frequently been closed, and so on... Basically less dependable winters.
As it stand right now, as much as the Sun go, the climate should be cooling, and yet it's warming.
CO2 is greenhouse effect gaz, that much is proved through physical measurements and experiments; humans are producing a great amount of CO2 through combustion of fossil fuels and CO2 can acidify sea water, that much is simple chemistry; the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is rising and oceans are acidifying, that much is shown with various measurements; the average temperatures are rising, that much is established by measurements and observations of various ecosystems and physical phenomenons; there is currently no other satisfying explanation that human activities, as nothing have been seen in natural phenomenon and cycles that can satisfyingly explain the current warming; the climate models are imperfect, but currently the worst case scenarios are right.
I have yet to see climate deniers showing any convincing arguments or evidences; they only say that for some reasons scientists are lying, or stupids by saying they didn't take into account elements that they did took into account.
Note how they’re not addressing anything you say.
I beg your pardon...
There you go.
Tollorin may gain some respect from me if he stops using the term: "climate deniers".
People who use it are either ignorant of the negative connotation or deliberately disrespectful.
I imagine the man-made-climate-change policy architects that are responsible for this sort of nonsense are marketing manager wannabes.
Grand psychological manipulators,
In their own mind.
Goebbels would be proud.
D'oh!
Now you guys are making *me* do it.
Godwin is lurking in the bushes somewhere!
I'm sure of it!
Pepe wrote:
EzraS wrote:
How about "Climate Heretic" or "Climate Infidel" instead? 
How about going back to:" Skeptic"?
That sounds too rational.
Last edited by EzraS on 01 Jan 2020, 2:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
beneficii wrote:
None of us are experts. You're like someone coming in with a medical diagnosis they can't accept and cherry-picking reasons why they don't really have that diagnosis while ignoring what your doctor said.
Are you not familiar with the concept of 'seeking a second opinion'?
Initial diagnoses are frequently incorrect. Keeping that in mind, it would seem (at least to me) that the most rational course of action would be to:
A) Collect data from all available sources
B) Analyze said data
C) Evaluate the results of step B
D) Proceed
beneficii wrote:
We know we are not qualified to try to evaluate and synthesize primary sources, so we rely on what the secondary sources tell us.
Holy freaking unicorn dung. It ain't rocket surgery. All it takes is a little effort.
If you keep your brain in the palm of your hand all your have to do is twitch your fingers.
Read beyond the headlines. Look beyond Google's front page. Be objective. Learn to think for yourself.
Quote:
None of us...We know we...so we
Are you the Borg?
_________________
Without deviation from the norm progress is not possible.
-Frank Zappa
SoloSailor wrote:
beneficii wrote:
None of us are experts. You're like someone coming in with a medical diagnosis they can't accept and cherry-picking reasons why they don't really have that diagnosis while ignoring what your doctor said.
Are you not familiar with the concept of 'seeking a second opinion'?
Initial diagnoses are frequently incorrect. Keeping that in mind, it would seem (at least to me) that the most rational course of action would be to:
A) Collect data from all available sources
B) Analyze said data
C) Evaluate the results of step B
D) Proceed
It isn't just one reliable secondary source, there are multiple textbooks and reviews in peer-reviewed journals in the field of climatology that tell us that. Getting a second opinion means going to another expert in the field, not going to someone who's unqualified.
Quote:
beneficii wrote:
We know we are not qualified to try to evaluate and synthesize primary sources, so we rely on what the secondary sources tell us.
Holy freaking unicorn dung. It ain't rocket surgery. All it takes is a little effort.
If you keep your brain in the palm of your hand all your have to do is twitch your fingers.
Read beyond the headlines. Look beyond Google's front page. Be objective. Learn to think for yourself.
I dispute this, and I think how this thread played out belies what you said. Obviously, it's good to be objective and to think for yourself, but it's also good to know the limitations of your understanding. You're acting like you can do the work of PhD-level scientists in the field of climatology with just "a little effort". I don't buy it for one second.
Now, how does this thread belie what you said? Well, if you go a few pages back, you posted a bunch of graphs that seemed to show the sea level dropping around certain tropical locations. You posted it like those graphs themselves were sufficient to conclude sea levels aren't really rising and the scientists are lying to us. Kokopelli came in and mentioned that it's actually a lot more complicated than that, even posting an excerpt from a peer-reviewed study that said this same thing. It took someone else coming in to tell us it isn't that simple and thus just going off the graphs themselves would be misleading. Why didn't you tell us that it wasn't that simple? It took someone else coming in to make that clear point. Either you didn't know what you were talking about or you were trying to mislead us. Since I assume good faith on your part, I assume the former. And just so you don't misunderstand, I don't mean to say you're stupid; only that you're unqualified.
This is the problem with self-teaching and thinking it only requires "a little effort" to do PhD-level work, you end up missing a lot of stuff and misinterpreting the primary evidence because you don't know all the factors and other things that go into interpreting it correctly, in a manner that actually reflects reality.
And I'm going to say that it seems like you have zero respect for climatologists.
_________________
"You have a responsibility to consider all sides of a problem and a responsibility to make a judgment and a responsibility to care for all involved." --Ian Danskin
beneficii wrote:
It isn't just one reliable secondary source, there are multiple textbooks and reviews in peer-reviewed journals in the field of climatology that tell us that. Getting a second opinion means going to another expert in the field, not going to someone who's unqualified.
Why are you so fixated on 'secondary sources' and authority?
Must you always have someone else telling you what to think?

beneficii wrote:
You posted it like those graphs themselves were sufficient to conclude sea levels aren't really rising and the scientists are lying to us.
I posted those graphs to show that a certain forum member was lying to us.
Those graphs (compiled by scientists) made the point quite clearly.

beneficii wrote:
And I'm going to say that it seems like you have zero respect for climatologists.
_________________
Without deviation from the norm progress is not possible.
-Frank Zappa
beneficii wrote:
And I'm going to say that it seems like you have zero respect for climatologists.
Some climatologists, perhaps?
I chose a different tack.
Exposing falsehood and disreputable behaviour through critical thinking.
Climate change modelling that is wrong.
Climate change predictions that have not eventuated.
Tampering with data.
Homogenisation of information to favour a particular bias.
Lies through omission in charting.
Admissions that gross exaggeration was used to motivate action.
The use of emotionalism rather than rationalism.
Disrespecting scientific methodology.
Claiming the science has been proven when it clearly is not.
Use of intimidation.
Use of emotional blackmail.
Use of financial blackmail.
Misrepresentation of the facts.
Presentation of statements which are clearly misleading.
The element of financial corruption influencing social policy.
Government political interference.
Citizen Scientist Activist interference.
The practice of favouring only certain scientific research directions.
The loss of integrity of the peer review system.
Appeal to authority, even when that authority is not qualified.
The embracing of blind faith as opposed to developing and engaging critical thinking skills.
Yep,
No reason to be skeptical.
SoloSailor wrote:

Are you an Aussie?
Edit:
What about the tidal factor?
Last edited by Pepe on 01 Jan 2020, 5:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
SoloSailor,
The little tweet you have there about Sydney Harbor appears to be wrong:
Quote:
There are many processes that cause sea level to rise at different rates over the globe. For Sydney, one of the processes that cause a below-average rate of sea level is Glacial Isostatic Adjustment. During the last glacial cycle, large parts of the Earth were covered by thick ice sheets, often more than a kilometer thick. The solid Earth below these ice sheets deformed under this load. Eventually, these ice sheets have melted, but the Earth is still recovering from these loads, which still causes the Earth’s shape to change. For Sydney, this means that the Earth is lifting up by about 0.3 mm/yr1, which could explain a part of the difference.
Long story short: from these pictures, one cannot conclude that sea level in Sydney has risen by 0.0 cm. In fact, two independent tide gauge records show that sea level in Sydney has risen by about 12 cm since the end of the 19th century.
Long story short: from these pictures, one cannot conclude that sea level in Sydney has risen by 0.0 cm. In fact, two independent tide gauge records show that sea level in Sydney has risen by about 12 cm since the end of the 19th century.
https://climatefeedback.org/claimreview ... -occurred/
This is the problem of practicing science when you're unqualified. You can't be sure that you're correct, and are taking into account every factor that you need to, because you have no idea what you're doing, even if you think you do. Because of that, "thinking for yourself here" means realizing the limitations of your knowledge. It means having humility. It means not thinking that every thought you have or every conclusion you make is automatically correct simply because you consider yourself a "rational person".
_________________
"You have a responsibility to consider all sides of a problem and a responsibility to make a judgment and a responsibility to care for all involved." --Ian Danskin

