Beneficii wrote:
I skimmed the discussion, didn't see anything to change my mind. There was mostly a whole lot of cries about, "OMG, can you believe they said that?" Some attempted to get more technical and go into particular studies or whatever, but discussions like that go way over my head. I guess if it's valid, they can try getting it published in a peer-reviewed journal somewhere. But if they're not able to publish everywhere, I will take that as a proxy for, There's something wrong with their arguments they need to rectify. My advice to them would be, like I've said before:
GIT GUD
Just....wow.
I presented you with an absurd parody of a scientific paper, dropped a few hints, (the first hint was the title of the paper itself) and suggested browsing a discussion (where, ironically, some participants happen to be scientists) on the merits (or lack thereof) of said paper (as well as the current peer review process).
Yet, in spite of all clues given, you seem to have accepted the conclusion reached in the 'study' as fact.
GIT GUD indeed...
Quote:
Carl Sagan's Baloney Detection Kit
Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the “facts.”
Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
Arguments from authority carry little weight—“authorities” have made mistakes in the past. They will do so again in the future. Perhaps a better way to say it is that in science there are no authorities; at most, there are experts.
Spin more than one hypothesis. If there’s something to be explained, think of all the different ways in which it could be explained. Then think of tests by which you might systematically disprove each of the alternatives. What survives, the hypothesis that resists disproof in this Darwinian selection among “multiple working hypotheses,” has a much better chance of being the right answer than if you had simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy.
Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it’s yours. It’s only a way-station in the pursuit of knowledge. Ask yourself why you like the idea. Compare it fairly with the alternatives. See if you can find reasons for rejecting it. If you don’t, others will.
Quantify. If whatever it is you’re explaining has some measure, some numerical quantity attached to it, you’ll be much better able to discriminate among competing hypotheses. What is vague and qualitative is open to many explanations. Of course there are truths to be sought in the many qualitative issues we are obliged to confront, but finding them is more challenging.
If there’s a chain of argument, every link in the chain must work (including the premise)—not just most of them.
Occam’s Razor. This convenient rule-of-thumb urges us when faced with two hypotheses that explain the data equally well to choose the simpler.
Always ask whether the hypothesis can be, at least in principle, falsified. Propositions that are untestable, unfalsifiable are not worth much. Consider the grand idea that our Universe and everything in it is just an elementary particle—an electron, say—in a much bigger Cosmos. But if we can never acquire information from outside our Universe, is not the idea incapable of disproof? You must be able to check assertions out. Inveterate skeptics must be given the chance to follow your reasoning, to duplicate your experiments and see if they get the same result.

Beneficii wrote:
If you guys have a valid point, it's YOUR job to get better and start convincing climate scientists.
Um, no.
CAGW promoters are the ones making the claim that we are facing a situation so immediately dire that we must drastically alter and consolidate social, political and economic policy on a global scale.
The burden of proof is upon the one making the claim.
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Without deviation from the norm progress is not possible.
-Frank Zappa